Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 5 at the 69

Minnesota Vikings 27 – Chicago Bears 24

(:16) 17-R.Wright punts 49 yards to CHI 20, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.

The Three Options

GO -0.53 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +0.17 EP
50% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 69, worth -1.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model