Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Jets 4th & 3 at the 62

New York Jets 32 – Pittsburgh Steelers 34

(:25) (Shotgun) 7-J.Fields pass incomplete short left to 5-G.Wilson (5-J.Ramsey). NYJ-5-G.Wilson was injured during the play.

The Three Options

GO -0.32 EP

What Happened

55% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +0.53 EP
45% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 62, worth -1.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose GO ✓ matched the model