Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Denver Broncos 4th & 19 at the 63

Denver Broncos 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 3

(6:07) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 50 yards to LAC 13, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 12-D.Davis to LAC 46 for 33 yards (16-J.Crawshaw; 28-T.Badie).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.64 EP
74% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 63, worth -3.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model