Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 9 at the 69

Arizona Cardinals 21 – Tennessee Titans 12

(8:53) 12-B.Gillikin punts 50 yards to TEN 19, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.95 EP
59% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 69, worth -3.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model