Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 9 at the 65

Los Angeles Chargers 2 – Pittsburgh Steelers 3

(3:22) 16-J.Scott punts 55 yards to PIT 10, Center-47-J.Harris. 85-K.Williams to PIT 21 for 11 yards (40-K.Williamson).

The Three Options

GO -1.14 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.61 EP
62% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model