Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Chicago Bears 4th & 9 at the 89

Chicago Bears 0 – Minnesota Vikings 0

(9:30) 19-T.Taylor punts 53 yards to MIN 36, Center-46-S.Daly, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.98 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.32 EP
59% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 89, worth -5.31 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model