Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 60

New York Giants 0 – New England Patriots 3

(5:37) 12-J.Gillan punts 54 yards to NE 6, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 25-M.Jones for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The Three Options

GO -1.17 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.27 EP
59% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 60, worth -3.53 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model