Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 76

Cleveland Browns 0 – Chicago Bears 14

(14:16) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CHI 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.

The Three Options

GO -2.63 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +0.88 EP
65% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 76, worth -4.53 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model