Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 6 at the 71

Philadelphia Eagles 10 – Las Vegas Raiders 0

(10:23) 10-B.Mann punts 43 yards to LV 28, Center-47-C.Hughlett, downed by PHI-28-W.Shipley.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.98 EP
56% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 71, worth -3.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model