Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 66

Tennessee Titans 0 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(13:59) 3-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to SF 30, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.67 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.82 EP
59% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 66, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model