Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 7 at the 62

Cincinnati Bengals 7 – Miami Dolphins 7

(15:00) 8-R.Rehkow punts 50 yards to MIA 12, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.

The Three Options

GO -1.28 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.05 EP
59% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 62, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model