Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Los Angeles Rams 6

(10:40) 4-M.Dickson punts 56 yards to LA 7, Center-41-C.Stoll. 19-X.Smith to LA 38 for 31 yards (38-B.Russell).

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.59 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 63, worth -3.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model