Home
Jacksonville Jaguars
4
2
0
154
104
+50
Houston Texans
2
4
0
144
143
+1
Indianapolis Colts
2
4
0
144
164
-20
Tennessee Titans
1
5
0
84
129
-45
Buffalo Bills
5
1
0
197
171
+26
New England Patriots
4
2
0
136
113
+23
New York Jets
2
4
0
112
122
-10
Miami Dolphins
0
5
0
70
132
-62
Baltimore Ravens
4
2
0
156
132
+24
Pittsburgh Steelers
4
2
0
137
128
+9
Cleveland Browns
4
2
0
106
122
-16
Cincinnati Bengals
3
2
0
128
109
+19
Kansas City Chiefs
5
0
0
140
83
+57
Denver Broncos
4
2
0
114
125
-11
Las Vegas Raiders
3
3
0
162
162
+0
Los Angeles Chargers
0
6
0
90
151
-61
San Francisco 49ers
6
0
0
177
110
+67
Seattle Seahawks
3
3
0
148
122
+26
Los Angeles Rams
2
4
0
135
138
-3
Arizona Cardinals
2
4
0
126
178
-52
New York Giants
3
2
1
136
140
-4
Dallas Cowboys
2
4
0
151
159
-8
Philadelphia Eagles
2
4
0
106
137
-31
Washington Commanders
1
4
1
132
172
-40
Carolina Panthers
3
2
0
146
123
+23
Atlanta Falcons
2
4
0
142
153
-11
New Orleans Saints
2
4
0
152
178
-26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1
5
0
119
138
-19
Minnesota Vikings
5
0
0
109
64
+45
Chicago Bears
4
2
0
150
119
+31
Green Bay Packers
4
2
0
127
125
+2
Detroit Lions
3
2
0
164
148
+16
Standings
Real division standings, plus a playoff-seed projection that folds the model's own prediction into every game not yet played.
Division Standings
W Wins · L Losses · T Ties · PF Points For · PA Points Against · Diff Point Differential
AFC
AFC South
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Jacksonville Jaguars
4
2
0
154
104
+50
Houston Texans
2
4
0
144
143
+1
Indianapolis Colts
2
4
0
144
164
-20
Tennessee Titans
1
5
0
84
129
-45
AFC East
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Buffalo Bills
5
1
0
197
171
+26
New England Patriots
4
2
0
136
113
+23
New York Jets
2
4
0
112
122
-10
Miami Dolphins
0
5
0
70
132
-62
AFC North
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Baltimore Ravens
4
2
0
156
132
+24
Pittsburgh Steelers
4
2
0
137
128
+9
Cleveland Browns
4
2
0
106
122
-16
Cincinnati Bengals
3
2
0
128
109
+19
AFC West
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Kansas City Chiefs
5
0
0
140
83
+57
Denver Broncos
4
2
0
114
125
-11
Las Vegas Raiders
3
3
0
162
162
+0
Los Angeles Chargers
0
6
0
90
151
-61
NFC
NFC West
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
San Francisco 49ers
6
0
0
177
110
+67
Seattle Seahawks
3
3
0
148
122
+26
Los Angeles Rams
2
4
0
135
138
-3
Arizona Cardinals
2
4
0
126
178
-52
NFC East
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
New York Giants
3
2
1
136
140
-4
Dallas Cowboys
2
4
0
151
159
-8
Philadelphia Eagles
2
4
0
106
137
-31
Washington Commanders
1
4
1
132
172
-40
NFC South
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Carolina Panthers
3
2
0
146
123
+23
Atlanta Falcons
2
4
0
142
153
-11
New Orleans Saints
2
4
0
152
178
-26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1
5
0
119
138
-19
NFC North
Team
W
L
T
PF
PA
Diff
Minnesota Vikings
5
0
0
109
64
+45
Chicago Bears
4
2
0
150
119
+31
Green Bay Packers
4
2
0
127
125
+2
Detroit Lions
3
2
0
164
148
+16
Projected Playoff Picture
Projected using the model's own prediction for every game not yet played — the same number shown on that game's own page, just rolled up for the whole season. Ties broken by point differential only, a simplification of the NFL's real, much longer tiebreak procedure.
The #1 seed gets a first-round bye.
