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WAS Away

Washington Commanders

HC Dan Quinn
@
PHI Home

Philadelphia Eagles

HC Nick Sirianni
Sunday 2026-09-13 · 16:25 Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US ☀️ Clear Spread 5.5 O/U 44.5

Win Probability

WAS
32.1%
PHI
67.9%
☀️ Clear

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
  • WAS offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (14th in the league)
  • Jalen Hurts (PHI): +0.097 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

WAS 20
PHI 25
Projected margin: PHI by 5 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 1

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.