4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
PHI Away

Philadelphia Eagles

HC Nick Sirianni
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
Monday 2026-09-28 · 20:15 Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 46.5

Win Probability

PHI
42.5%
CHI
57.5%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
  • PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

PHI 24
CHI 25
Projected margin: CHI by 1 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 3

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.