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Sunday 2026-10-11 · 13:00
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans US
🏟 Dome
Spread -1.5
O/U 44.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
Predicted Final Score
MIN
20
–
NO
23
Projected margin: NO by 3
Projected total: 43
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 5
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.