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Sunday 2026-10-18 · 13:00
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US
❓ Unknown
Spread 1.5
O/U 45.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- QB edge to PIT: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.083 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.038 EPA/dropback
- TB on 3 more days rest than PIT
Predicted Final Score
PIT
22
–
TB
23
Projected margin: TB by 1
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 6
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.