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BUF Away

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
@
LV Home

Las Vegas Raiders

HC Klint Kubliak
Sunday 2026-10-18 · 16:25 Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas US 🏟 Dome Spread -6.5 O/U 47.5

Win Probability

BUF
69.5%
LV
30.5%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • QB edge to BUF: Kirk Cousins (LV) -0.046 vs Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 EPA/dropback
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • LV defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (19th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

BUF 30
LV 19
Projected margin: BUF by 11 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 6

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.