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Best Bets — Week 7

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

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KC @

SEA

Model: SEA 76.7% · strong edge

SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

LA @

Model: LA 74.4% · strong edge

LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

CLE @

TEN

Model: TEN 67.4% · clear edge

CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)

MIA @

NYJ

Model: MIA 63.8% · clear edge

NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)

NYG @

HOU

Model: HOU 63.5% · clear edge

HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)