Best Bets — Week 8

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

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Model: CIN 79.5% · strong edge

TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)

Model: BUF 77.6% · strong edge

BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)

Model: PIT 77.6% · strong edge

CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)

Model: LA 76.2% · strong edge

LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

Model: GB 73.4% · strong edge

GB offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)

Model: JAX 71.4% · strong edge

JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)

Model: SEA 71.3% · strong edge

SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

Model: DEN 67.7% · clear edge

KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)

Model: NE 66.9% · clear edge

NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)

Model: DET 64.7% · clear edge

MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)