Home

Best Bets — Week 15

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

2025 2026

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

MIA @

Model: GB 77.5% · strong edge

GB offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)

CLE @

NYG

Model: NYG 76.1% · strong edge

CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)

CHI @

BUF

Model: BUF 74.7% · strong edge

BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)

NYJ @

ARI

Model: ARI 74.4% · strong edge

NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)

DAL @

Model: LA 67.7% · clear edge

LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)