4TH&DATA
EN ES
🏆 65% correct on 854 held-out games
2025 2026
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NFL Week 7

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Week 6 Storylines

😱 Biggest upset: Arizona Cardinals over Los Angeles Rams, given only 24% to win. 🎯 The model's boldest correct call: New England Patriots at 90% — and they delivered. 📉 Worst 4th-down call: Houston Texans cost themselves 1.89 expected points.
🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
FINAL PENDING
NE NE 4-2 #3
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CHI CHI 4-2 #16

New England Patriots (#3) at Chicago Bears (#16) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.

Thursday 2026-10-22 · 20:15 ET ☀️ Clear
CHI 53.0% · coin flip
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 09:30 ET
PIT PIT 4-2 Away
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NO NO 2-4 Home
Stade de France, Saint-Denis FR 🏟 Dome
Spread -3.5 O/U 44.5
PIT 50.9% · coin flip
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
SF SF 6-0 Away
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ATL ATL 2-4 Home
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome
Spread -3.5 O/U 50.5
ATL 53.3% · coin flip
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET DIV
CIN CIN 3-2 Away
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BAL BAL 4-2 Home
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.0 O/U 51.5
CIN 52.9% · coin flip
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET DIV
TB TB 1-5 Away
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CAR CAR 3-2 Home
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.5 O/U 44.5
CAR 64.1% · clear edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
NYG NYG 3-2-1 Away
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HOU HOU 2-4 Home
Reliant Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome
Spread 10.0 O/U 42.5
HOU 62.3% · clear edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
IND IND 2-4 Away
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MIN MIN 5-0 Home
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US 🏟 Dome
Spread 6.5 O/U 41.5
MIN 63.2% · clear edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET DIV
MIA MIA 0-5 Away
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NYJ NYJ 2-4 Home
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ☀️ Clear
Spread 4.5 O/U 38.5
MIA 59.5% · slight edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
CLE CLE 4-2 Away
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TEN TEN 1-5 Home
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ☀️ Clear
Spread -1.5 O/U 38.5
TEN 65.3% · clear edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 16:05 ET
DEN DEN 4-2 Away
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ARI ARI 2-4 Home
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome
Spread -4.5 O/U 43.5
DEN 59.6% · slight edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 16:25 ET DIV
GB GB 4-2 Away
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DET DET 3-2 Home
Ford Field, Detroit US 🏟 Dome
Spread 3.0 O/U 53.5
DET 59.8% · slight edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 16:25 ET
LA LA 2-4 Away
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LV LV 3-3 Home
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas US 🏟 Dome
Spread -4.5 O/U 47.5
LA 69.0% · clear edge
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 20:20 ET
KC KC 5-0 Away
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SEA SEA 3-3 Home
Lumen Field, Seattle US ☀️ Clear
Spread 2.5 O/U 42.5
SEA 73.2% · strong edge
Monday 2026-10-26 · 20:15 ET DIV
DAL DAL 2-4 Away
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PHI PHI 2-4 Home
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US ☀️ Clear
Spread -4.5 O/U 44.5
PHI 51.6% · coin flip