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🏆 65% correct on 854 held-out games

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2025 2026
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NFL Week 2

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Week 1 Storylines

😱 Biggest upset: New York Jets over Tennessee Titans, given only 27% to win. 🎯 The model's boldest correct call: Jacksonville Jaguars at 85% — and they delivered. 📉 Worst 4th-down call: San Francisco 49ers cost themselves 1.66 expected points.
🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
JAX JAX 1-1 #1
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DEN DEN 1-1 #10

Jacksonville Jaguars (#1) at Denver Broncos (#10) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.

Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:05 ET 🌧 Rain
JAX 13 – DEN 20
✓ model called it · had DEN 54.4%
Thursday 2026-09-17 · 20:15 ET
DET DET 1-1 Away
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BUF BUF 2-0 Home
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US 🌧 Rain
Spread 5.5 O/U 54.5
DET 31 – BUF 41
✓ model called it · had BUF 71.9%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET DIV
CAR CAR 1-1 Away
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ATL ATL 0-2 Home
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome
Spread -2.5 O/U 43.5
CAR 34 – ATL 3
✗ model missed it · had ATL 60.0%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET UPSET
NO NO 1-1 Away
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BAL BAL 1-1 Home
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ☀️ Clear
Spread 8.5 O/U 45.5
NO 24 – BAL 17
✗ model missed it · had BAL 61.9%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET UPSET DIV
MIN MIN 2-0 Away
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CHI CHI 1-1 Home
Soldier Field, Chicago US 🌧 Rain
Spread 4.5 O/U 46.5
MIN 9 – CHI 3
✗ model missed it · had CHI 65.7%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET UPSET
CIN CIN 2-0 Away
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HOU HOU 0-2 Home
Reliant Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome
Spread 3.0 O/U 45.5
CIN 20 – HOU 6
✗ model missed it · had HOU 61.0%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET
PIT PIT 1-1 Away
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NE NE 1-1 Home
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US 🌧 Rain
Spread 4.5 O/U 41.5
PIT 3 – NE 20
✓ model called it · had NE 81.1%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET
GB GB 1-1 Away
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NYJ NYJ 1-1 Home
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ☀️ Clear
Spread -3.5 O/U 44.5
GB 20 – NYJ 17
✓ model called it · had GB 75.3%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET UPSET
CLE CLE 1-1 Away
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TB TB 0-2 Home
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US 🌧 Rain
Spread 8.5 O/U 41.5
CLE 23 – TB 19
✗ model missed it · had TB 72.0%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00 ET
PHI PHI 2-0 Away
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TEN TEN 0-2 Home
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ☀️ Clear
Spread -7.0 O/U 39.5
PHI 24 – TEN 20
✓ model called it · had PHI 56.6%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:05 ET UPSET DIV
LV LV 2-0 Away
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LAC LAC 0-2 Home
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome
Spread 6.5 O/U 43.5
LV 26 – LAC 14
✗ model missed it · had LAC 69.4%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:25 ET DIV
SEA SEA 2-0 Away
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ARI ARI 1-1 Home
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome
Spread -3.5 O/U 40.5
SEA 31 – ARI 7
✓ model called it · had SEA 66.4%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:25 ET DIV
WAS WAS 0-2 Away
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DAL DAL 1-1 Home
AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome
Spread 3.5 O/U 51.5
WAS 20 – DAL 37
✓ model called it · had DAL 53.0%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:25 ET
MIA MIA 0-2 Away
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SF SF 2-0 Home
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara US ☀️ Clear
Spread 12.5 O/U 44.5
MIA 13 – SF 35
✓ model called it · had SF 74.0%
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 20:20 ET
IND IND 0-2 Away
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KC KC 2-0 Home
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US ☀️ Clear
Spread 6.0 O/U 46.5
IND 30 – KC 33
✓ model called it · had KC 60.9%
Monday 2026-09-21 · 20:15 ET
NYG NYG 1-1 Away
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LA LA 1-1 Home
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome
Spread 6.5 O/U 47.5
NYG 6 – LA 28
✓ model called it · had LA 67.9%