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Best Bets — Week 2

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

2025 2026

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 WC DIV CON SB

CLE @

BAL

Model: BAL 86.9% · strong edge

CLE offense: -0.222 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)

CHI @

DET

Model: DET 73.5% · strong edge

QB edge to DET: Jared Goff (DET) +0.294 vs Caleb Williams (CHI) -0.098 EPA/dropback

LA @

TEN

Model: LA 71.3% · strong edge

QB edge to LA: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.394 vs Matthew Stafford (LA) +0.132 EPA/dropback

WAS @

Model: GB 67.4% · clear edge

WAS offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)

NYG @

DAL

Model: DAL 66.8% · clear edge

NYG offense: -0.149 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)

BUF @

NYJ

Model: BUF 66.1% · clear edge

BUF offense: +0.187 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)

TB @

HOU

Model: TB 64.2% · clear edge

TB offense: +0.149 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)

JAX @

CIN

Model: CIN 63.6% · clear edge

CIN offense: +0.079 EPA/play over its last 8 games (8th in the league)