4TH&DATA
EN ES
🏆 65% correct on 854 held-out games
2025 2026
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NFL Week 20

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Week 19 Storylines

🎯 The model's boldest correct call: New England Patriots at 80% — and they delivered. 📉 Worst 4th-down call: Los Angeles Chargers cost themselves 1.97 expected points.
🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
HOU HOU 12-5 #6
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NE NE 14-3 #2

Houston Texans (#6) at New England Patriots (#2) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.

Sunday 2026-01-18 · 15:00 ET 🌧 Rain
HOU 16 – NE 28
✓ model called it · had NE 69.4%
Saturday 2026-01-17 · 16:30 ET
BUF BUF 12-5 Away
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DEN DEN 14-3 Home
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver US 🌧 Rain
Spread 1.5 O/U 45.5
BUF 30 – DEN 33
✓ model called it · had DEN 53.0%
Saturday 2026-01-17 · 20:00 ET DIV
SF SF 12-5 Away
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SEA SEA 14-3 Home
Lumen Field, Seattle US ☀️ Clear
Spread 6.5 O/U 44.5
SF 6 – SEA 41
✓ model called it · had SEA 62.1%
Sunday 2026-01-18 · 18:30 ET
LA LA 12-5 Away
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CHI CHI 11-6 Home
Soldier Field, Chicago US 🌨 Snow
Spread -3.5 O/U 49.5
LA 20 – CHI 17
✓ model called it · had LA 56.4%