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Week 16 Storylines
Biggest upset: Minnesota Vikings over New York Giants, given only 32% to win. The model's boldest correct call: Houston Texans at 84% — and they delivered. Worst 4th-down call: Seattle Seahawks cost themselves 1.47 expected points.🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
PHI
11-5
#3
BUF
11-5
#9
Philadelphia Eagles (#3) at Buffalo Bills (#9) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.
PHI 13
–
BUF 12
✗ model missed it
· had BUF 62.3%
Thursday 2025-12-25 · 13:00 ET
DAL
7-8-1
Away
WAS
4-12
Home
Spread -8.5
O/U 50.5
DAL 30
–
WAS 23
✓ model called it
· had DAL 54.6%
Thursday 2025-12-25 · 16:30 ET
DET
8-8
Away
MIN
8-8
Home
Spread -7.0
O/U 45.5
DET 10
–
MIN 23
✗ model missed it
· had DET 78.5%
Thursday 2025-12-25 · 20:15 ET
DEN
13-3
Away
KC
6-10
Home
Spread -13.5
O/U 37.5
DEN 20
–
KC 13
✓ model called it
· had DEN 56.4%
Saturday 2025-12-27 · 16:30 ET
HOU
11-5
Away
LAC
11-5
Home
Spread 1.5
O/U 40.5
HOU 20
–
LAC 16
✗ model missed it
· had LAC 54.7%
Saturday 2025-12-27 · 20:00 ET
BAL
8-8
Away
GB
9-6-1
Home
Spread 2.5
O/U 38.5
BAL 41
–
GB 24
✗ model missed it
· had GB 62.6%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
SEA
13-3
Away
CAR
8-8
Home
Spread -6.5
O/U 42.5
SEA 27
–
CAR 10
✓ model called it
· had SEA 61.7%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
ARI
3-13
Away
CIN
6-10
Home
Spread 7.0
O/U 52.5
ARI 14
–
CIN 37
✓ model called it
· had CIN 67.1%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
PIT
9-7
Away
CLE
4-12
Home
Spread -4.5
O/U 35.5
PIT 6
–
CLE 13
✗ model missed it
· had PIT 68.5%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
JAX
12-4
Away
IND
8-8
Home
Spread -3.5
O/U 48.5
JAX 23
–
IND 17
✓ model called it
· had JAX 58.5%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
TB
7-9
Away
MIA
7-9
Home
Spread -5.5
O/U 44.5
TB 17
–
MIA 20
✓ model called it
· had MIA 55.5%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
NE
13-3
Away
NYJ
3-13
Home
Spread -12.5
O/U 42.5
NE 42
–
NYJ 10
✓ model called it
· had NE 70.4%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 13:00 ET
NO
6-10
Away
TEN
3-13
Home
Spread -1.5
O/U 39.5
NO 34
–
TEN 26
✗ model missed it
· had TEN 54.4%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 16:05 ET
NYG
3-13
Away
LV
2-14
Home
Spread -3.0
O/U 40.5
NYG 34
–
LV 10
✓ model called it
· had NYG 58.5%
Sunday 2025-12-28 · 20:20 ET
CHI
11-5
Away
SF
12-4
Home
Spread 3.5
O/U 51.5
CHI 38
–
SF 42
✓ model called it
· had SF 61.9%
Monday 2025-12-29 · 20:15 ET
LA
11-5
Away
ATL
7-9
Home
Spread -7.5
O/U 48.5
LA 24
–
ATL 27
✗ model missed it
· had LA 71.2%