4TH&DATA
EN ES
🏆 65% correct on 854 held-out games
2025 2026
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NFL Week 8

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Week 7 Storylines

😱 Biggest upset: Cincinnati Bengals over Pittsburgh Steelers, given only 36% to win. 🎯 The model's boldest correct call: Kansas City Chiefs at 75% — and they delivered. 📉 Worst 4th-down call: Arizona Cardinals cost themselves 1.88 expected points.
🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
WAS WAS 3-5 #22
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KC KC 5-3 #2

Washington Commanders (#22) at Kansas City Chiefs (#2) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.

Monday 2025-10-27 · 20:15 ET 🌧 Rain
WAS 7 – KC 28
✓ model called it · had KC 75.0%
Thursday 2025-10-23 · 20:15 ET
MIN MIN 3-4 Away
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LAC LAC 5-3 Home
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome
Spread 3.0 O/U 45.5
MIN 10 – LAC 37
✓ model called it · had LAC 62.5%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET UPSET
MIA MIA 2-6 Away
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ATL ATL 3-4 Home
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome
Spread 7.0 O/U 44.5
MIA 34 – ATL 10
✗ model missed it · had ATL 62.0%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET
CHI CHI 4-3 Away
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BAL BAL 2-5 Home
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ☀️ Clear
Spread 2.5 O/U 45.5
CHI 16 – BAL 30
✓ model called it · had BAL 56.8%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET
BUF BUF 5-2 Away
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CAR CAR 4-4 Home
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte US 🌧 Rain
Spread -7.0 O/U 47.5
BUF 40 – CAR 9
✓ model called it · had BUF 65.5%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET
NYJ NYJ 1-7 Away
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CIN CIN 3-5 Home
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati US ☀️ Clear
Spread 5.5 O/U 43.5
NYJ 39 – CIN 38
✗ model missed it · had CIN 50.7%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET
SF SF 5-3 Away
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HOU HOU 3-4 Home
NRG Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome
Spread 2.5 O/U 41.5
SF 15 – HOU 26
✓ model called it · had HOU 58.2%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET
CLE CLE 2-6 Away
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NE NE 6-2 Home
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US ☀️ Clear
Spread 7.0 O/U 40.5
CLE 13 – NE 32
✓ model called it · had NE 75.6%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 13:00 ET DIV
NYG NYG 2-6 Away
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PHI PHI 6-2 Home
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US ☀️ Clear
Spread 7.0 O/U 43.5
NYG 20 – PHI 38
✓ model called it · had PHI 69.0%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 16:05 ET DIV
TB TB 6-2 Away
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NO NO 1-7 Home
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans US 🏟 Dome
Spread -4.5 O/U 46.5
TB 23 – NO 3
✓ model called it · had TB 68.0%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 16:25 ET
DAL DAL 3-4-1 Away
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DEN DEN 6-2 Home
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.5 O/U 51.5
DAL 24 – DEN 44
✗ model missed it · had DAL 52.8%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 16:25 ET DIV
TEN TEN 1-7 Away
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IND IND 7-1 Home
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis US 🏟 Dome
Spread 15.5 O/U 47.5
TEN 14 – IND 38
✓ model called it · had IND 85.7%
Sunday 2025-10-26 · 20:20 ET
GB GB 5-1-1 Away
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PIT PIT 4-3 Home
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ☀️ Clear
Spread -3.0 O/U 46.5
GB 35 – PIT 25
✗ model missed it · had PIT 51.9%