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Week 14 Storylines
Biggest upset: Houston Texans over Kansas City Chiefs, given only 28% to win. The model's boldest correct call: Los Angeles Rams at 72% — and they delivered. Worst 4th-down call: Pittsburgh Steelers cost themselves 1.59 expected points.🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
BUF
10-4
#6
NE
11-3
#3
Buffalo Bills (#6) at New England Patriots (#3) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.
BUF 35
–
NE 31
✗ model missed it
· had NE 55.8%
Thursday 2025-12-11 · 20:15 ET
ATL
5-9
Away
TB
7-7
Home
Spread 6.0
O/U 43.5
ATL 29
–
TB 28
✗ model missed it
· had TB 58.1%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
CLE
3-11
Away
CHI
10-4
Home
Spread 7.5
O/U 38.5
CLE 3
–
CHI 31
✓ model called it
· had CHI 74.0%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
BAL
7-7
Away
CIN
4-10
Home
Spread -2.5
O/U 51.5
BAL 24
–
CIN 0
✗ model missed it
· had CIN 63.4%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
ARI
3-11
Away
HOU
9-5
Home
Spread 10.5
O/U 42.5
ARI 20
–
HOU 40
✓ model called it
· had HOU 67.8%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
NYJ
3-11
Away
JAX
10-4
Home
Spread 13.5
O/U 40.5
NYJ 20
–
JAX 48
✓ model called it
· had JAX 85.0%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
LAC
10-4
Away
KC
6-8
Home
Spread 5.5
O/U 41.5
LAC 16
–
KC 13
✗ model missed it
· had KC 71.2%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
WAS
4-10
Away
NYG
2-12
Home
Spread 2.5
O/U 46.5
WAS 29
–
NYG 21
✗ model missed it
· had NYG 67.7%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 13:00 ET
LV
2-12
Away
PHI
9-5
Home
Spread 12.5
O/U 37.5
LV 0
–
PHI 31
✓ model called it
· had PHI 80.6%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 16:25 ET
GB
9-4-1
Away
DEN
12-2
Home
Spread -1.5
O/U 42.5
GB 26
–
DEN 34
✗ model missed it
· had GB 57.4%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 16:25 ET
DET
8-6
Away
LA
11-3
Home
Spread 5.5
O/U 54.5
DET 34
–
LA 41
✓ model called it
· had LA 64.8%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 16:25 ET
CAR
7-7
Away
NO
4-10
Home
Spread -2.5
O/U 41.5
CAR 17
–
NO 20
✗ model missed it
· had CAR 54.7%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 16:25 ET
IND
8-6
Away
SEA
11-3
Home
Spread 13.5
O/U 41.5
IND 16
–
SEA 18
✓ model called it
· had SEA 68.9%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 16:25 ET
TEN
2-12
Away
SF
10-4
Home
Spread 12.5
O/U 44.5
TEN 24
–
SF 37
✓ model called it
· had SF 84.7%
Sunday 2025-12-14 · 20:20 ET
MIN
6-8
Away
DAL
6-7-1
Home
Spread 5.5
O/U 47.5
MIN 34
–
DAL 26
✗ model missed it
· had DAL 74.0%
Monday 2025-12-15 · 20:15 ET
MIA
6-8
Away
PIT
8-6
Home
Spread 3.0
O/U 42.5
MIA 15
–
PIT 28
✓ model called it
· had PIT 53.7%
