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Week 12 Storylines
Biggest upset: Cleveland Browns over Las Vegas Raiders, given only 33% to win. The model's boldest correct call: Green Bay Packers at 76% — and they delivered. Worst 4th-down call: New England Patriots cost themselves 2.29 expected points.🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
HOU
7-5
#4
IND
8-4
#7
Houston Texans (#4) at Indianapolis Colts (#7) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.
HOU 20
–
IND 16
✗ model missed it
· had IND 61.2%
Thursday 2025-11-27 · 13:00 ET
GB
8-3-1
Away
DET
7-5
Home
Spread 2.5
O/U 48.5
GB 31
–
DET 24
✓ model called it
· had GB 63.2%
Thursday 2025-11-27 · 16:30 ET
KC
6-6
Away
DAL
6-5-1
Home
Spread -3.5
O/U 53.5
KC 28
–
DAL 31
✗ model missed it
· had KC 55.2%
Thursday 2025-11-27 · 20:20 ET
CIN
4-8
Away
BAL
6-6
Home
Spread 7.0
O/U 52.5
CIN 32
–
BAL 14
✗ model missed it
· had BAL 59.2%
Friday 2025-11-28 · 15:00 ET
CHI
9-3
Away
PHI
8-4
Home
Spread 7.0
O/U 43.5
CHI 24
–
PHI 15
✗ model missed it
· had PHI 65.7%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
LA
9-3
Away
CAR
7-6
Home
Spread -10.0
O/U 44.5
LA 28
–
CAR 31
✗ model missed it
· had LA 75.5%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
SF
9-4
Away
CLE
3-9
Home
Spread -5.5
O/U 35.5
SF 26
–
CLE 8
✓ model called it
· had SF 72.4%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
NO
2-10
Away
MIA
5-7
Home
Spread 5.5
O/U 41.5
NO 17
–
MIA 21
✓ model called it
· had MIA 68.9%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
ATL
4-8
Away
NYJ
3-9
Home
Spread -3.0
O/U 38.5
ATL 24
–
NYJ 27
✗ model missed it
· had ATL 57.9%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
ARI
3-9
Away
TB
7-5
Home
Spread 4.5
O/U 44.5
ARI 17
–
TB 20
✓ model called it
· had TB 62.8%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 13:00 ET
JAX
8-4
Away
TEN
1-11
Home
Spread -6.0
O/U 42.5
JAX 25
–
TEN 3
✓ model called it
· had JAX 64.8%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 16:05 ET
MIN
4-8
Away
SEA
9-3
Home
Spread 12.5
O/U 42.5
MIN 0
–
SEA 26
✓ model called it
· had SEA 88.6%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 16:25 ET
LV
2-10
Away
LAC
8-4
Home
Spread 10.0
O/U 40.5
LV 14
–
LAC 31
✓ model called it
· had LAC 71.2%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 16:25 ET
BUF
8-4
Away
PIT
6-6
Home
Spread -3.0
O/U 44.5
BUF 26
–
PIT 7
✓ model called it
· had BUF 55.1%
Sunday 2025-11-30 · 20:20 ET
DEN
10-2
Away
WAS
3-9
Home
Spread -6.5
O/U 43.5
DEN 27
–
WAS 26
✓ model called it
· had DEN 52.3%
Monday 2025-12-01 · 20:15 ET
NYG
2-11
Away
NE
11-2
Home
Spread 7.0
O/U 46.5
NYG 15
–
NE 33
✓ model called it
· had NE 65.6%
