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🏆 65% correct on 854 held-out games

What's New · Best Bets · Value Picks

2025 2026
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NFL Week 2

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Week 1 Storylines

🎯 The model's boldest correct call: Philadelphia Eagles at 81% — and they delivered. 📉 Worst 4th-down call: New Orleans Saints cost themselves 2.13 expected points.
🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
DEN DEN 1-1 #5
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IND IND 2-0 #13

Denver Broncos (#5) at Indianapolis Colts (#13) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.

Sunday 2025-09-14 · 16:05 ET 🏟 Dome
DEN 28 – IND 29
✗ model missed it · had DEN 55.2%
Thursday 2025-09-11 · 20:15 ET
WAS WAS 1-1 Away
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GB GB 2-0 Home
Lambeau Field, Green Bay US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.5 O/U 48.5
WAS 18 – GB 27
✓ model called it · had GB 67.4%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET DIV
CLE CLE 0-2 Away
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BAL BAL 1-1 Home
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ☀️ Clear
Spread 12.5 O/U 46.5
CLE 17 – BAL 41
✓ model called it · had BAL 86.9%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET
JAX JAX 1-1 Away
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CIN CIN 2-0 Home
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.5 O/U 49.5
JAX 27 – CIN 31
✓ model called it · had CIN 63.6%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET DIV
NYG NYG 0-2 Away
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DAL DAL 1-1 Home
AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome
Spread 4.5 O/U 44.5
NYG 37 – DAL 40
✓ model called it · had DAL 66.8%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET DIV
CHI CHI 0-2 Away
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DET DET 1-1 Home
Ford Field, Detroit US 🏟 Dome
Spread 6.0 O/U 46.5
CHI 21 – DET 52
✓ model called it · had DET 73.5%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET UPSET DIV
NE NE 1-1 Away
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MIA MIA 0-2 Home
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US 🌧 Rain
Spread 1.5 O/U 43.5
NE 33 – MIA 27
✗ model missed it · had MIA 61.2%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET
SF SF 2-0 Away
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NO NO 0-2 Home
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans US 🏟 Dome
Spread -3.0 O/U 40.5
SF 26 – NO 21
✓ model called it · had SF 61.2%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET DIV
BUF BUF 2-0 Away
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NYJ NYJ 0-2 Home
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ☀️ Clear
Spread -6.0 O/U 47.5
BUF 30 – NYJ 10
✓ model called it · had BUF 66.1%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET
SEA SEA 1-1 Away
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PIT PIT 1-1 Home
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ☀️ Clear
Spread 3.5 O/U 40.5
SEA 31 – PIT 17
✗ model missed it · had PIT 57.2%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 13:00 ET
LA LA 2-0 Away
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TEN TEN 0-2 Home
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ☀️ Clear
Spread -5.5 O/U 41.5
LA 33 – TEN 19
✓ model called it · had LA 71.3%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 16:05 ET
CAR CAR 0-2 Away
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ARI ARI 2-0 Home
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome
Spread 7.0 O/U 45.5
CAR 22 – ARI 27
✓ model called it · had ARI 59.8%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 16:25 ET
PHI PHI 2-0 Away
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KC KC 0-2 Home
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US ☀️ Clear
Spread -1.5 O/U 46.5
PHI 20 – KC 17
✓ model called it · had PHI 58.2%
Sunday 2025-09-14 · 20:20 ET
ATL ATL 1-1 Away
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MIN MIN 1-1 Home
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US 🏟 Dome
Spread 3.5 O/U 44.5
ATL 22 – MIN 6
✓ model called it · had ATL 55.0%
Monday 2025-09-15 · 19:00 ET
TB TB 2-0 Away
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HOU HOU 0-2 Home
NRG Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome
Spread 2.5 O/U 42.5
TB 20 – HOU 19
✓ model called it · had TB 64.2%
Monday 2025-09-15 · 22:00 ET DIV
LAC LAC 2-0 Away
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LV LV 1-1 Home
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas US 🏟 Dome
Spread -3.5 O/U 46.5
LAC 20 – LV 9
✓ model called it · had LAC 56.9%