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Week 11 Storylines
The model's boldest correct call: New England Patriots at 73% — and they delivered. Worst 4th-down call: Houston Texans cost themselves 1.50 expected points.🔥 Biggest Game of the Week
IND
8-3
#3
KC
6-5
#1
Indianapolis Colts (#3) at Kansas City Chiefs (#1) — the week's best matchup by power ranking.
IND 20
–
KC 23
✓ model called it
· had KC 58.6%
Thursday 2025-11-20 · 20:15 ET
BUF
7-4
Away
HOU
6-5
Home
Spread -5.5
O/U 43.5
BUF 19
–
HOU 23
✗ model missed it
· had BUF 57.2%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
NYJ
2-9
Away
BAL
6-5
Home
Spread 14.0
O/U 44.5
NYJ 10
–
BAL 23
✓ model called it
· had BAL 73.3%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
PIT
6-5
Away
CHI
8-3
Home
Spread 3.0
O/U 46.5
PIT 28
–
CHI 31
✓ model called it
· had CHI 55.1%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
NE
10-2
Away
CIN
3-8
Home
Spread -7.5
O/U 50.5
NE 26
–
CIN 20
✓ model called it
· had NE 73.8%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
NYG
2-10
Away
DET
7-4
Home
Spread 14.0
O/U 50.5
NYG 27
–
DET 34
✓ model called it
· had DET 68.1%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
MIN
4-7
Away
GB
7-3-1
Home
Spread 6.5
O/U 41.5
MIN 6
–
GB 23
✓ model called it
· had GB 75.9%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 13:00 ET
SEA
8-3
Away
TEN
1-10
Home
Spread -12.5
O/U 41.5
SEA 30
–
TEN 24
✓ model called it
· had SEA 74.7%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 16:05 ET
JAX
7-4
Away
ARI
3-8
Home
Spread -2.5
O/U 47.5
JAX 27
–
ARI 24
✓ model called it
· had JAX 55.5%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 16:05 ET
CLE
3-8
Away
LV
2-9
Home
Spread 3.0
O/U 35.5
CLE 24
–
LV 10
✗ model missed it
· had LV 67.4%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 16:25 ET
PHI
8-3
Away
DAL
5-5-1
Home
Spread -3.0
O/U 47.5
PHI 21
–
DAL 24
✗ model missed it
· had PHI 55.0%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 16:25 ET
ATL
4-7
Away
NO
2-9
Home
Spread 1.5
O/U 41.5
ATL 24
–
NO 10
✓ model called it
· had ATL 51.5%
Sunday 2025-11-23 · 20:20 ET
TB
6-5
Away
LA
9-2
Home
Spread 7.0
O/U 49.5
TB 7
–
LA 34
✓ model called it
· had LA 71.2%
Monday 2025-11-24 · 20:15 ET
CAR
6-6
Away
SF
8-4
Home
Spread 7.5
O/U 48.5
CAR 9
–
SF 20
✓ model called it
· had SF 69.2%
