Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
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Q1 ARI 4th & 2 at the 31Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.88 EPp(convert) 58% p(FG) 80%
(12:51) 38-C.Ryland 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q1 ATL 4th & 6 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 64%
(10:05) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Burke [97-W.Nolen] at ARI 29. 29-D.Burke ran ob at ARI 45 for 16 yards (63-C.Lindstrom; 71-E.Wilkinson).
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Q1 ATL 4th & 15 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 80%
(2:22) 45-Z.Gonzalez 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 2 at the 33Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.82 EPp(convert) 58% p(FG) 77%
(13:32) 38-C.Ryland 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 6 at the 6Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 98%
(5:06) 38-C.Ryland 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q2 ATL 4th & 1 at the 28Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 85%
(2:00) 18-K.Cousins up the middle to ARI 26 for 2 yards (79-P.Mustipher; 50-C.Simon). ** Injury Update: ARI-42-D.Taylor-Demerson has returned to the game.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 2 at the 36Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 60% p(FG) 71%
(9:32) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts to ARI 26 for 10 yards (42-D.Taylor-Demerson). ARI-3-B.Baker was injured during the play.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 5 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 92%
(7:29) 45-Z.Gonzalez 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 11 at the 26Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 87%
(3:46) 38-C.Ryland 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 15 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(10:55) 39-M.Haack punts 51 yards to ATL 25, Center-46-A.Brewer. 83-D.Thompkins pushed ob at ATL 33 for 8 yards (44-O.Pappoe).
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Q4 ATL 4th & 1 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 47%
(7:25) 18-K.Cousins FUMBLES (Aborted) at ARI 49, RECOVERED by ARI-56-D.Robinson at ARI 47.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 8 at the 16 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 95%
(4:41) 38-C.Ryland 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q4 ATL 4th & 1 at the 39 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 64%
(2:14) 69-J.Nelson reported in as eligible. 25-T.Allgeier up the middle to ARI 39 for no gain (94-D.Tomlinson; 56-D.Robinson).
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Q2 CLE 4th & 6 at the 6Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 98%
(5:41) 25-A.Szmyt 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 12 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(1:49) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 52 yards to BUF 10, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 16-M.Hardman pushed ob at BUF 14 for 4 yards (20-D.Ross).
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Q3 BUF 4th & 2 at the 62Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.98 EPp(convert) 63%
(12:56) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Touchback.
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Q3 BUF 4th & 8 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 87%
(9:41) 32-M.Badgley 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
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Q4 BUF 4th & 4 at the 33Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 69%
(13:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 14-T.Shavers.
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Q4 CLE 4th & 10 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 87%
(8:50) 25-A.Szmyt 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q4 CLE 4th & 2 at the 56Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56%
(5:08) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders sacked at CLE 31 for -13 yards (50-G.Rousseau).
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Q4 BUF 4th & 1 at the 11 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 96%
(2:53) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Knox.
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Q1 CIN 4th & 13 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(12:18) 8-R.Rehkow punts 54 yards to MIA 14, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
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Q1 MIA 4th & 3 at the 53Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 55% p(FG) 24%
(8:05) 16-J.Bailey punts 44 yards to CIN 9, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 12-K.Williams.
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Q2 CIN 4th & 7 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(15:00) 8-R.Rehkow punts 50 yards to MIA 12, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 6 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(11:50) 16-J.Bailey punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-49-J.Cardona, Touchback.
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Q2 CIN 4th & 13 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 84%
(6:06) 2-E.McPherson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 5 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(:48) 16-J.Bailey punts 51 yards to CIN 4, Center-49-J.Cardona, downed by MIA-82-D.Eskridge.
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Q3 CIN 4th & 1 at the 25Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 87%
(11:12) 9-J.Burrow up the middle to MIA 24 for 1 yard (25-T.Dodson; 44-C.Robinson).
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Q3 MIA 4th & 1 at the 47Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 38%
(5:34) 14-Q.Ewers up the middle to CIN 47 for no gain (95-H.Cross). (Virtual Measurement).
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Q4 MIA 4th & 5 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(11:34) 16-J.Bailey punts 44 yards to CIN 20, Center-49-J.Cardona. 12-K.Williams to CIN 46 for 26 yards (31-O.Gordon).
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Q4 CIN 4th & 4 at the 48Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.56 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 36%
(9:20) 8-R.Rehkow punts 45 yards to MIA 3, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-82-M.Tinsley.
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Q4 CIN 4th & 4 at the 63 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 50%
(2:00) 8-R.Rehkow punts 59 yards to MIA 4, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-42-O.Burks. ** Injury Update: CIN-43-J.Giles-Harris has returned to the game.
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Q4 MIA 4th & 1 at the 55 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72%
(:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Wright left tackle to MIA 48 for 3 yards (95-H.Cross; 43-J.Giles-Harris).
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Q1 GB 4th & 1 at the 7Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 98%
(9:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 9-C.Watson.
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Q1 CHI 4th & 1 at the 4Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 98%
(3:55) Direct snap to 25-K.Monangai. 25-K.Monangai Aborted. 52-D.Dalman FUMBLES at GB 10, recovered by CHI-25-K.Monangai at GB 22.
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Q2 GB 4th & 8 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 34% p(FG) 98%
(12:49) 17-B.McManus 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 13 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 44%
(9:41) 19-T.Taylor punts 40 yards to GB 5, Center-46-S.Daly, out of bounds. ** Injury Update: GB-53-A.Mosby has returned to the game.
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Q2 GB 4th & 1 at the 59Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(5:52) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis left end pushed ob at CHI 46 for 13 yards (94-A.Booker).
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Q2 GB 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.68 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 98%
(1:45) 17-B.McManus 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 9 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 32%
(:51) 19-T.Taylor punts 42 yards to GB 8, Center-46-S.Daly, fair catch by 87-R.Doubs.
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Q3 CHI 4th & 8 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 83%
(12:17) 8-C.Santos 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q3 CHI 4th & 4 at the 79Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.34 EPp(convert) 53%
(4:25) 19-T.Taylor punts 43 yards to GB 36, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-44-N.Sewell.
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Q4 CHI 4th & 19 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 74%
(10:57) 8-C.Santos 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q4 GB 4th & 4 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.62 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 97%
(5:06) 17-B.McManus 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q4 CHI 4th & 1 at the 48 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 36%
(4:00) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams scrambles left end to GB 36 for 12 yards (7-Q.Walker).
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Q4 CHI 4th & 4 at the 25 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46% p(FG) 87%
(2:04) 8-C.Santos 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q4 CHI 4th & 4 at the 6 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 98%
(:28) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short right to 20-J.Walker for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q1 JAX 4th & 5 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(13:33) 9-L.Cooke punts 58 yards to DEN 8, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 3 at the 85Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.53 EPp(convert) 57%
(12:02) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 46 yards to JAX 39, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 11-P.Washington to JAX 41 for 2 yards (34-J.Skinner; 45-N.Adkins).
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Q1 JAX 4th & 10 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(9:53) 9-L.Cooke punts 46 yards to DEN 13, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 1 at the 62Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72%
(8:07) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. 12-R.Harvey right tackle to DEN 39 for 1 yard (23-F.Oluokun; 0-D.Lloyd). Jacksonville challenged the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
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Q1 DEN 4th & 6 at the 26Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 87%
(5:15) 3-W.Lutz 44 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw. ** Injury Update: JAX-6-G.Newsome has returned to the game.
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Q2 DEN 4th & 4 at the 36Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.42 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 69%
(9:14) 3-W.Lutz 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
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Q2 DEN 4th & 4 at the 46Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.60 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 44%
(1:55) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 33 yards to JAX 13, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 11-P.Washington. ** Injury Update: DEN-52-J.Elliss has returned to the game.
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Q3 DEN 4th & 13 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 28%
(6:12) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Touchback.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 7 at the 7Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.36 EPp(convert) 34% p(FG) 98%
(13:38) 39-C.Little 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q4 DEN 4th & 3 at the 3Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.15 EPp(convert) 47% p(FG) 99%
(10:47) 3-W.Lutz 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 10 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(9:43) 9-L.Cooke punts 55 yards to DEN 12, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 19-M.Mims to DEN 19 for 7 yards (95-B.Green; 56-Y.Abdullah).
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Q4 DEN 4th & 2 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 57%
(8:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 13-P.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Jones at JAX 30. 22-J.Jones to JAX 30 for no gain (13-P.Bryant).
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Q4 JAX 4th & 6 at the 54 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(4:21) 9-L.Cooke punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Touchback.
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Q4 DEN 4th & 11 at the 45 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 47%
(2:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Sutton [91-A.Armstead]. ** Injury Update: JAX-30-M.Brown has returned to the game.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 5 at the 38 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +1.20 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 65%
(1:44) 9-L.Cooke punts 36 yards to DEN 2, Center-46-R.Matiscik, downed by JAX-26-An.Johnson.
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Q1 KC 4th & 12 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(12:54) 14-M.Araiza punts 42 yards to TEN 32, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.
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Q1 TEN 4th & 1 at the 44Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 45%
(10:18) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right to 84-G.Helm.
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Q1 KC 4th & 7 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 26%
(8:31) 14-M.Araiza punts 42 yards to TEN 10, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 17-C.Dike. PENALTY on TEN-54-D.Mausi, Offensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TEN 10.
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Q1 TEN 4th & 17 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 24%
(2:27) 3-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to KC 6, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.
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Q2 KC 4th & 10 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(14:53) 14-M.Araiza punts 32 yards to TEN 39, Center-41-J.Winchester. 17-C.Dike to TEN 42 for 3 yards (21-J.Hicks).
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Q2 TEN 4th & 11 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(13:19) 3-J.Hekker punts 46 yards to KC 13, Center-46-M.Cox. 81-N.Remigio MUFFS catch, recovered by KC-38-K.Knowles at KC 6. 38-K.Knowles to KC 6 for no gain (54-D.Mausi). PENALTY on KC-34-M.Edwards, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 3 yards, enforced at KC 6.
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Q2 TEN 4th & 10 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 35%
(11:50) 3-J.Hekker punts 43 yards to KC 5, Center-46-M.Cox. 81-N.Remigio pushed ob at KC 36 for 31 yards (3-J.Hekker).
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Q2 KC 4th & 4 at the 36Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.85 EPp(convert) 49% p(FG) 66%
(7:45) 7-H.Butker 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q3 KC 4th & 4 at the 33Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 49% p(FG) 73%
(7:47) 7-H.Butker 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q3 TEN 4th & 1 at the 50Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 30%
(6:29) (No Huddle) 1-C.Ward up the middle to 50 for no gain (23-D.Tranquill; 97-A.Gillotte).
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Q3 KC 4th & 9 at the 9Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 97%
(3:04) 7-H.Butker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q4 TEN 4th & 9 at the 9 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 97%
(3:47) 6-J.Slye 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
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Q1 DAL 4th & 2 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 64%
(11:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 3-G.Pickens to LAC 11 for 28 yards (20-C.Hart). DAL-56-C.Beebe was injured during the play.
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Q2 DAL 4th & 14 at the 15Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 96%
(14:07) 17-B.Aubrey 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q3 LAC 4th & 5 at the 19Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.34 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 93%
(11:55) 11-C.Dicker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
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Q3 DAL 4th & 4 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(9:10) 5-B.Anger punts 42 yards to LAC 17, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 15-L.McConkey.
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Q3 LAC 4th & 1 at the 74Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.05 EPp(convert) 74%
(7:33) 16-J.Scott punts 55 yards to DAL 19, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.
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Q3 DAL 4th & 1 at the 16Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 95%
(2:18) 40-H.Luepke up the middle to LAC 16 for no gain (91-D.Hand; 99-J.Caldwell).
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Q4 LAC 4th & 5 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.77 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 98%
(9:00) 11-C.Dicker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
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Q4 DAL 4th & 10 at the 54Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(7:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 81-J.Mingo [45-T.Tuipulotu].
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Q1 LA 4th & 1 at the 62Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(13:36) 23-K.Williams up the middle to LA 41 for 3 yards (0-D.Lawrence).
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Q1 LA 4th & 1 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 52%
(9:55) 23-K.Williams right end to SEA 39 for no gain (0-D.Lawrence; 29-J.Jobe). (Virtual Measurement).
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Q1 LA 4th & 5 at the 30Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 75%
(4:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 12-P.Nacua to SEA 24 for 6 yards (29-J.Jobe). Penalty on SEA-0-D.Lawrence, Defensive Offside, declined.
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Q1 LA 4th & 5 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.83 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 98%
(1:45) 92-H.Mevis 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q1 SEA 4th & 1 at the 56Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.47 EPp(convert) 71%
(1:05) 4-M.Dickson punts 44 yards to LA 12, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.
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Q2 LA 4th & 7 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 97%
(12:49) 92-H.Mevis 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q2 SEA 4th & 8 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(10:40) 4-M.Dickson punts 56 yards to LA 7, Center-41-C.Stoll. 19-X.Smith to LA 38 for 31 yards (38-B.Russell).
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Q3 LA 4th & 8 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 88%
(8:40) 92-H.Mevis 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q3 SEA 4th & 14 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 30%
(3:39) 4-M.Dickson punts 32 yards to LA 15, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.
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Q4 LA 4th & 6 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(8:18) 42-E.Evans punts 43 yards to SEA 42, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 22-R.Shaheed for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q4 LA 4th & 7 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(7:09) 42-E.Evans punts 32 yards to SEA 43, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.
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Q4 LA 4th & 3 at the 67 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57%
(4:54) 42-E.Evans punts 44 yards to SEA 23, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q4 SEA 4th & 4 at the 71 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(3:25) 4-M.Dickson punts 51 yards to LA 20, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.
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Q4 LA 4th & 8 at the 29 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 77%
(2:11) 92-H.Mevis 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q4 SEA 4th & 17 at the 69 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(1:50) 4-M.Dickson punts 57 yards to LA 12, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.
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Q4 LA 4th & 10 at the 51 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 21%
(:49) 42-E.Evans punts 36 yards to SEA 15, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q1 LV 4th & 10 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(14:37) 6-A.Cole punts 52 yards to HOU 19, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 14-J.Noel to HOU 24 for 5 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao).
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Q1 HOU 4th & 8 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(12:10) 6-T.Townsend punts 45 yards to LV 17, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 81-A.Bachman to LV 21 for 4 yards (42-J.Ingram; 35-J.Hansen).
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Q1 LV 4th & 1 at the 66Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.61 EPp(convert) 67%
(8:17) 6-A.Cole punts 48 yards to HOU 18, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
-
Q1 HOU 4th & 4 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53%
(7:22) 6-T.Townsend punts 51 yards to LV 25, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 81-A.Bachman to LV 41 for 16 yards (33-D.Ogunbowale). PENALTY on LV-49-C.Snowden, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at LV 30.
-
Q1 LV 4th & 6 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(3:25) 6-A.Cole punts 49 yards to HOU 12, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 14-J.Noel pushed ob at HOU 30 for 18 yards (46-C.Runyon). PENALTY on HOU-42-J.Ingram, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 26.
-
Q1 HOU 4th & 11 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(1:17) 6-T.Townsend punts 57 yards to LV 28, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 81-A.Bachman to LV 39 for 11 yards (42-J.Ingram; 40-A.Brinkman).
-
Q2 HOU 4th & 3 at the 37Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 53% p(FG) 69%
(9:17) 15-K.Fairbairn 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 4 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(5:27) 6-A.Cole punts 47 yards to HOU 11, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
-
Q2 HOU 4th & 5 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 79%
(:54) 15-K.Fairbairn 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 3 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(:25) 6-A.Cole punts 32 yards to HOU 30, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
-
Q3 HOU 4th & 8 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(13:24) 6-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to LV 12, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 81-A.Bachman to LV 15 for 3 yards (31-D.Clark).
-
Q3 HOU 4th & 18 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(7:44) 6-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to LV 29, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.
-
Q3 LV 4th & 17 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24%
(6:08) 6-A.Cole punts 31 yards to HOU 47, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
-
Q3 HOU 4th & 1 at the 31Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.36 EPp(convert) 70% p(FG) 80%
(3:14) 15-K.Fairbairn 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
-
Q4 LV 4th & 3 at the 46Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.32 EPp(convert) 47% p(FG) 47%
(13:46) 6-A.Cole punts 34 yards to HOU 12, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, downed by LV-55-C.Lindenberg.
-
Q1 MIN 4th & 4 at the 25Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.55 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 83%
(10:54) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 5 at the 10Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 97%
(5:21) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at MIN 15 for -5 yards (61-J.Redmond).
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 8 at the 9Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.46 EPp(convert) 33% p(FG) 97%
(11:08) 30-B.Sauls 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
-
Q2 MIN 4th & 1 at the 47Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 28%
(7:28) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to NYG 44 for 3 yards (22-A.Phillips). MIN-78-R.Kelly was injured during the play. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 44.
-
Q2 MIN 4th & 13 at the 13Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 95%
(4:53) 16-W.Reichard 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 14 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(1:04) 12-J.Gillan punts 51 yards to MIN 23, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 4-M.Price to MIN 35 for 12 yards (23-A.Green).
-
Q3 NYG 4th & 5 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(11:15) 12-J.Gillan punts 40 yards to MIN 23, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 4-M.Price. PENALTY on MIN-0-I.Pace, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 23.
-
Q3 MIN 4th & 6 at the 44Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.31 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 35%
(5:35) 17-R.Wright punts 29 yards to NYG 15, Center-42-A.DePaola. 80-G.Olszewski pushed ob at NYG 20 for 5 yards (36-Z.Scott). PENALTY on MIN-40-S.Takitaki, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 20.
-
Q3 NYG 4th & 2 at the 54Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 62%
(1:59) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 18-D.Slayton to MIN 46 for 8 yards (51-B.Cashman).
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 10 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 89%
(11:10) 30-B.Sauls 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
-
Q4 MIN 4th & 3 at the 12 late-gameChose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.51 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 96%
(4:18) 16-W.Reichard 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 3 at the 53 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 55% p(FG) 16%
(2:05) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at NYG 39 for -8 yards (43-A.Van Ginkel).
-
Q1 NE 4th & 1 at the 17Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 94%
(8:41) 95-K.Tonga and 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye right guard to BAL 15 for 2 yards (0-R.Smith).
-
Q2 BAL 4th & 9 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(10:32) 11-J.Stout punts 39 yards to NE 25, Center-46-N.Moore, downed by BAL-39-K.Jackson.
-
Q2 NE 4th & 12 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 86%
(5:44) 36-A.Borregales 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
-
Q2 BAL 4th & 5 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 94%
(1:07) 33-T.Loop 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
-
Q3 NE 4th & 11 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(14:14) 17-B.Baringer punts 49 yards to BAL 22, Center-47-J.Ashby. 83-L.Wester to BAL 33 for 11 yards (47-J.Ashby).
-
Q3 BAL 4th & 9 at the 38Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 65%
(10:43) 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
-
Q3 NE 4th & 2 at the 22Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.00 EPp(convert) 57% p(FG) 91%
(7:47) 36-A.Borregales 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
-
Q3 NE 4th & 10 at the 56Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(2:01) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 15-M.Mapu. 15-M.Mapu sacked at NE 43 for -1 yards (81-D.Walker). FUMBLES (81-D.Walker) [81-D.Walker], touched at NE 45, recovered by NE-51-J.Gibbens at NE 44.
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 9 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(5:12) 11-J.Stout punts 45 yards to NE 11, Center-46-N.Moore, downed by BAL-39-K.Jackson.
-
Q4 NE 4th & 2 at the 48 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61% p(FG) 40%
(3:02) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs pushed ob at BAL 27 for 21 yards (24-M.Starks).
-
Q1 NYJ 4th & 8 at the 11Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.36 EPp(convert) 29% p(FG) 97%
(10:42) 6-N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
-
Q1 NO 4th & 4 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 95%
(6:35) 39-C.Smyth 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q1 NYJ 4th & 5 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(3:28) 14-A.McNamara punts 51 yards to NO 14, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 11-D.Pettis ran ob at NO 24 for 10 yards (25-J.Monroe). PENALTY on NYJ-43-C.Jones, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 24.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 16 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 80%
(14:23) 39-C.Smyth 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q2 NYJ 4th & 8 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 94%
(12:41) 6-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 55Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(9:55) Direct snap to 7-T.Hill. 7-T.Hill up the middle to NO 45 for no gain (44-J.Sherwood).
-
Q2 NYJ 4th & 12 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 44%
(7:25) 14-A.McNamara punts 38 yards to NO 9, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 67Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71%
(5:34) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 7-T.Hill. 7-T.Hill left guard to NO 35 for 2 yards (45-K.King).
-
Q2 NO 4th & 5 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 94%
(1:34) 39-C.Smyth 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q2 NYJ 4th & 19 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 23%
(1:01) 14-A.McNamara punts 54 yards to NO 9, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 10 at the 43Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 55%
(:03) 39-C.Smyth 61 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q3 NYJ 4th & 16 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(11:40) 14-A.McNamara punts 33 yards to NO 27, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
-
Q3 NO 4th & 13 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(10:08) 32-K.Kroeger punts 46 yards to NYJ 30, Center-49-Z.Wood, downed by NO-43-M.Davis.
-
Q3 NYJ 4th & 12 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(6:12) 14-A.McNamara punts 55 yards to NO 7, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 11-D.Pettis to NO 7 for no gain (82-A.Smith).
-
Q4 NO 4th & 8 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 79%
(11:14) 39-C.Smyth 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 6 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 64%
(9:17) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook pass short middle intended for 3-J.Metchie INTERCEPTED by 33-J.Sanker at NO 27. 33-J.Sanker pushed ob at NYJ 44 for 29 yards (70-A.Membou).
-
Q4 NO 4th & 11 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 92%
(5:22) 39-C.Smyth 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 13 at the 68 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.62 EPp(convert) 29%
(3:38) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook pass deep left to 15-A.Mitchell to NO 42 for 26 yards (21-J.Reid).
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 10 at the 42 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.50 EPp(convert) 30% p(FG) 57%
(2:55) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook sacked at NYJ 44 for -14 yards (99-C.Young).
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 7 at the 65 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-B.Cook pass short right to 84-S.Smartt pushed ob at NO 48 for 17 yards (28-D.Stutsman).
-
Q1 WAS 4th & 2 at the 2Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.46 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 99%
(11:42) 16-J.Moody 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
-
Q1 PHI 4th & 6 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(9:32) 10-B.Mann punts 49 yards to WAS 15, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 83-J.Lane to WAS 15 for no gain (21-S.Brown).
-
Q1 WAS 4th & 14 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(6:15) 10-T.Way punts 50 yards to PHI 26, Center-69-T.Ott. 18-B.Covey to PHI 37 for 11 yards (57-N.Bellore).
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 11 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(15:00) 10-T.Way punts 47 yards to PHI 10, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 11 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 87%
(9:10) 4-J.Elliott 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 1 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 62% p(FG) 99%
(5:14) 71-A.Wylie reported in as eligible. 36-C.Rodriguez left guard to PHI 1 for 1 yard (53-Z.Baun).
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 10 at the 44Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 46%
(14:09) 10-T.Way punts 27 yards to PHI 17, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.
-
Q4 WAS 4th & 4 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(9:17) 10-T.Way punts 40 yards to PHI 20, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 8 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(8:21) 10-B.Mann punts 38 yards to WAS 40, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.
-
Q4 WAS 4th & 6 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(6:44) 10-T.Way punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-69-T.Ott, Touchback.
-
Q1 DET 4th & 11 at the 73Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(13:17) 3-J.Fox punts 53 yards to PIT 20, Center-49-H.Hatten. 19-C.Austin pushed ob at PIT 29 for 9 yards (84-S.Zylstra).
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 14 at the 41Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 60%
(9:26) 9-C.Boswell 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q1 DET 4th & 3 at the 3Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 99%
(2:15) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 14-A.St. Brown (24-J.Porter) [97-Ca.Heyward].
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 10 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(13:41) 3-C.Waitman punts 46 yards to DET 20, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 11-K.Raymond to DET 23 for 3 yards (44-C.Bruener; 40-J.Peppers). PENALTY on PIT-15-B.Skowronek, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at DET 23.
-
Q2 DET 4th & 11 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 94%
(10:13) 39-J.Bates 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 3 at the 65Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.53 EPp(convert) 55%
(8:04) 3-C.Waitman punts 50 yards to DET 15, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 11-K.Raymond to DET 15 for no gain (15-B.Skowronek).
-
Q2 DET 4th & 10 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(6:26) 3-J.Fox punts 54 yards to PIT 31, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 19-C.Austin. PENALTY on PIT-22-A.Samuel, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PIT 31.
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 10 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(4:13) 3-C.Waitman punts 54 yards to DET 25, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 11-K.Raymond to DET 38 for 13 yards (46-C.Kuntz).
-
Q3 PIT 4th & 2 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 57%
(6:47) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 13-S.Miller to DET 35 for 7 yards (29-A.Maddox).
-
Q3 PIT 4th & 1 at the 11Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 97%
(2:46) Direct snap to 83-Co.Heyward. 14-K.Gainwell left end to DET 2 for 9 yards (46-J.Campbell).
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 5 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.64 EPp(convert) 39% p(FG) 98%
(15:00) 9-C.Boswell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q4 DET 4th & 15 at the 91Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(14:33) 3-J.Fox punts 52 yards to PIT 39, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 13-S.Miller.
-
Q4 DET 4th & 2 at the 27Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 86%
(8:45) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 11-K.Raymond for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 8 at the 18 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 94%
(2:09) 9-C.Boswell 37 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q2 SF 4th & 1 at the 48Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 42%
(12:39) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to IND 46 for 2 yards (99-D.Buckner).
-
Q2 IND 4th & 2 at the 72Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.96 EPp(convert) 64%
(7:16) 8-R.Sanchez punts 54 yards to SF 18, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 9-S.Moore.
-
Q2 SF 4th & 6 at the 7Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(1:55) 18-E.Pineiro 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
-
Q2 IND 4th & 4 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46% p(FG) 92%
(:21) 10-B.Grupe 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
-
Q3 IND 4th & 8 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 77%
(8:21) 10-B.Grupe 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
-
Q3 SF 4th & 7 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 93%
(4:07) 18-E.Pineiro 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
-
Q4 IND 4th & 1 at the 56 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-R.Leonard pass incomplete short left to 9-C.Owen.
-
Q1 CAR 4th & 6 at the 9Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.58 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 97%
(10:34) 10-R.Fitzgerald 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
-
Q1 CAR 4th & 20 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24%
(:28) 6-S.Martin punts 49 yards to TB 10, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson. Penalty on TB-58-M.Watts, Defensive Offside, declined.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 5 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.59 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(8:13) 4-C.McLaughlin 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
-
Q2 CAR 4th & 2 at the 57Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.13 EPp(convert) 60%
(7:34) 6-S.Martin punts 43 yards to TB 14, Center-44-J.Jansen. 19-K.Johnson to TB 21 for 7 yards (29-A.Evans; 87-B.Tremayne). ** Injury Update: CAR-33-R.Rochell has returned to the game.
-
Q2 CAR 4th & 10 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 89%
(2:10) 10-R.Fitzgerald 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 12 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(1:17) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to CAR 24, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 37 for 13 yards (43-C.Braswell; 57-J.Bullock).
-
Q4 TB 4th & 13 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 75%
(11:29) 4-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
-
Q4 CAR 4th & 12 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(8:02) 6-S.Martin punts 44 yards to TB 12, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
-
Q4 TB 4th & 17 at the 56 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(4:57) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to CAR 9, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne pushed ob at CAR 17 for 8 yards (19-K.Johnson). PENALTY on TB-86-E.Deckers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 17.
-
Q4 CAR 4th & 7 at the 30 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 79%
(2:24) 10-R.Fitzgerald 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.